Ramazan Temirov vs Steve Erceg

Temirov is a heavy striker with elite output (4.37/min) and exceptional knockdown rate (2.52/15min), backed by solid takedown threat (0.84/15min at 50% accuracy). He's younger at 28, in peak form, and carries a 19-3 record with consistent UFC performance. Erceg is taller with a 4-inch reach advantage (68in vs 63in) and slightly better striking accuracy (48% vs 40%), but his recent form is mixed—two decision wins over mid-tier opposition (Elliott, Osbourne) sandwiched between losses to elite flyweights (Moreno, Kara-France, Pantoja). Erceg's takedown threat is minimal (1.13/15min at 28% accuracy) and he generates almost no knockdowns (0.13/15min), making him vulnerable to Temirov's power and volume. The reach advantage helps Erceg at range, but Temirov's output, finishing rate, and superior recent form against ranked competition give him the edge.