Who won Ramazan Temirov vs Steve Erceg?
Ramazan Temirov won the fight. Our AI picked Ramazan Temirov at 68% — called it right. The market's favourite was priced at 51%.
Ramazan Temirov
Steve Erceg
What our AI said before the fight
Temirov is a heavy striker with elite output (4.37/min) and exceptional knockdown rate (2.52/15min), backed by solid takedown threat (0.84/15min at 50% accuracy). He's younger at 28, in peak form, and carries a 19-3 record with consistent UFC performance. Erceg is taller with a 4-inch reach advantage (68in vs 63in) and slightly better striking accuracy (48% vs 40%), but his recent form is mixed—two decision wins over mid-tier opposition (Elliott, Osbourne) sandwiched between losses to elite flyweights (Moreno, Kara-France, Pantoja). Erceg's takedown threat is minimal (1.13/15min at 28% accuracy) and he generates almost no knockdowns (0.13/15min), making him vulnerable to Temirov's power and volume. The reach advantage helps Erceg at range, but Temirov's output, finishing rate, and superior recent form against ranked competition give him the edge.
About these numbers
Market probability is the live crowd consensus from Polymarket, a public prediction market where people trade on outcomes — we read it as a data signal for what the crowd expects, and it updates continuously. AI probabilityis our own model’s independent read of the matchup from fighter data alone; it never sees the market price, which is why the two can disagree.
All of it is published for analysis and entertainment. Nothing here is betting advice, a recommendation, or a prediction of a guaranteed result — fights are volatile and upsets are the sport.