Patricio Pitbull vs Dooho Choi
The AI’s call
Choi's elite finishing rate and hot form overwhelm Pitbull's veteran savvy and age disadvantage.
AI vs the market
AI 72% · crowd 71% on Choi
Aligned. The AI and the market read this fight the same way — 1 point apart.
The breakdown
Patricio Pitbull is a 38-year-old veteran with 37 fights and deep Bellator pedigree, but his UFC tenure shows modest output (2.77 sig strikes/min) and defensive liabilities (4.61 absorbed/min). He lands cleanly (46% accuracy) but lacks volume and takedown threat (33% accuracy, 1.26/15min). Dooho Choi is a 17-fight knockout artist on a three-fight win streak, with 14 of 17 wins by KO/TKO—a 82% finishing rate. His recent form is sharp: TKO wins over Santos, Landwehr, and Algeo in 2024-2026 show sustained power and timing. Choi's only losses come by KO (2), suggesting he can be hurt, but his current trajectory and youth advantage are undeniable. Pitbull's experience and ring IQ matter, but Choi's finishing rate and recent dominance create a significant edge.
Pitbull — edges
- 37-fight veteran with deep Bellator experience and fight IQ
- Solid striking accuracy (46%) and defensive fundamentals
- Proven ability to navigate deep waters and adjust mid-fight
Choi — edges
- 82% finishing rate (14 KOs in 17 wins) — elite power and timing
- Three consecutive TKO wins in 2024-2026 — sharp, current form
- Age advantage (likely mid-20s vs 38) and physical prime
- Recent opponents (Landwehr, Algeo, Santos) higher caliber than Pitbull's recent slate
X-factor
Pitbull's clinch work and experience grinding out rounds if Choi's power shots miss early.
How the market sees it ending
How it ends
Who lands the knockout
Tale of the tape
Physical
Age
Height
Reach
Record
Wins
Losses
Wins by KO/TKO
Wins by submission
Striking
Landed / min
Absorbed / min
Accuracy
Knockdowns / 15 min
Grappling
Takedowns / 15 min
TD accuracy
Sub. attempts / 15 min
About these numbers
Market probability is the live crowd consensus from Polymarket, a public prediction market where people trade on outcomes — we read it as a data signal for what the crowd expects, and it updates continuously. AI probabilityis our own model’s independent read of the matchup from fighter data alone; it never sees the market price, which is why the two can disagree.
All of it is published for analysis and entertainment. Nothing here is betting advice, a recommendation, or a prediction of a guaranteed result — fights are volatile and upsets are the sport.