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UFC Fight NightFeatherweightMain CardSep 6, 2026

Muhammad Naimov vs Losene Keita

Muhammad Naimov

60%

market

vs
Losene Keita

Losene Keita

16-2-0

41%

market

AI breakdown coming soon

This fight is on the board and the market numbers are live below. The full AI analysis lands shortly.

How the market sees it ending

How it ends

Goes the full distance49%
Ends by KO / TKO49%
Ends by submission49%

Who lands the knockout

Naimov by KO/TKO49%
Keita by KO/TKO49%

Tale of the tape

NaimovKeita

Physical

Age

28

Height

69"

Record

Wins

16

Losses

2

Wins by KO/TKO

10

Wins by submission

0

Striking

Landed / min

3.47

Absorbed / min

4.47

Accuracy

44%

Knockdowns / 15 min

0

Grappling

Takedowns / 15 min

0

Sub. attempts / 15 min

0

About these numbers

Market probability is the live crowd consensus from Polymarket, a public prediction market where people trade on outcomes — we read it as a data signal for what the crowd expects, and it updates continuously. AI probabilityis our own model’s independent read of the matchup from fighter data alone; it never sees the market price, which is why the two can disagree.

All of it is published for analysis and entertainment. Nothing here is betting advice, a recommendation, or a prediction of a guaranteed result — fights are volatile and upsets are the sport.