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UFC Fight NightLight HeavyweightPrelimsSep 6, 2026

Modestas Bukauskas vs Oumar Sy

AI breakdown coming soon

This fight is on the board and the market numbers are live below. The full AI analysis lands shortly.

How the market sees it ending

How it ends

Goes the full distance49%
Ends by KO / TKO50%
Ends by submission50%

Who lands the knockout

Bukauskas by KO/TKO50%
Sy by KO/TKO49%

Tale of the tape

BukauskasSy

Physical

32

Age

30
75"

Height

76"
76"

Reach

83"

Record

20

Wins

12
7

Losses

2
11

Wins by KO/TKO

5
3

Wins by submission

4

Striking

3.14

Landed / min

3.41
3.86

Absorbed / min

1.87
43%

Accuracy

48%
0.11

Knockdowns / 15 min

0

Grappling

0.23

Takedowns / 15 min

2.45
67%

TD accuracy

35%
0.11

Sub. attempts / 15 min

0.35

About these numbers

Market probability is the live crowd consensus from Polymarket, a public prediction market where people trade on outcomes — we read it as a data signal for what the crowd expects, and it updates continuously. AI probabilityis our own model’s independent read of the matchup from fighter data alone; it never sees the market price, which is why the two can disagree.

All of it is published for analysis and entertainment. Nothing here is betting advice, a recommendation, or a prediction of a guaranteed result — fights are volatile and upsets are the sport.