Michael Aswell vs JooSang Yoo
The AI’s call
Yoo's striking volume and accuracy edge out Aswell's finishing power in a competitive featherweight bout.
AI vs the market
AI 66% · crowd 70% on Yoo
Aligned. The AI and the market read this fight the same way — 4 points apart.
The breakdown
Michael Aswell is a 11-4 veteran with solid finishing power (55% KO/TKO rate) but has lost three of his last five fights, all by decision, suggesting he's struggling at this level. JooSang Yoo enters on a loss to Daniel Santos but carries a 9-1 record with 44% finishing rate and superior UFC-level striking metrics: 6.36 sig strikes landed per minute with 59% accuracy and 2.58 knockdowns per 15 minutes. Yoo is taller (67in vs 5'8"), older at 31, and has faced higher-caliber competition in the UFC. However, Yoo's recent TKO loss to Santos and Aswell's proven ability to finish fights early (R1 TKO over Almeida) keep this competitive. Aswell's camp (4oz Fight Club) is less established than Yoo's Pinnacle/Vamos setup, and his decision losses suggest he may lack the output to keep pace with Yoo's volume and accuracy.
Aswell — edges
- Proven finishing power with 55% KO/TKO rate
- Recent R1 TKO finish shows explosive early-round capability
- Slightly younger and potentially fresher on the decline
Yoo — edges
- Superior striking volume: 6.36 sig strikes/min vs Aswell's implied lower output
- 59% striking accuracy and 2.58 knockdowns/15min demonstrate precision and power
- Height advantage (67in vs 5'8") and reach control
- More recent UFC experience and higher-level competition faced
X-factor
Aswell lands early explosive finish before Yoo's volume and precision overwhelm him in later rounds.
How the market sees it ending
How it ends
Who lands the knockout
Tale of the tape
Physical
Age
Height
Record
Wins
Losses
Wins by KO/TKO
Wins by submission
Striking
Landed / min
Absorbed / min
Accuracy
Knockdowns / 15 min
Grappling
Takedowns / 15 min
Sub. attempts / 15 min
About these numbers
Market probability is the live crowd consensus from Polymarket, a public prediction market where people trade on outcomes — we read it as a data signal for what the crowd expects, and it updates continuously. AI probabilityis our own model’s independent read of the matchup from fighter data alone; it never sees the market price, which is why the two can disagree.
All of it is published for analysis and entertainment. Nothing here is betting advice, a recommendation, or a prediction of a guaranteed result — fights are volatile and upsets are the sport.