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Who won Magomed Zaynukov vs Damian Rzepecki?

Magomed Zaynukov won the fight. Our AI picked Magomed Zaynukov at 64% — called it right. The market's favourite was priced at 76%.

Magomed Zaynukov✓ WINNER

Magomed Zaynukov

vs
Damian Rzepecki

Damian Rzepecki

What our AI said before the fight

Zaynukov is an undefeated 31-year-old striker from the Abdulmanap Nurmagomedov School with elite output (15.67 sig. strikes/min) and precision (61% accuracy). He's landed 5 KOs in 8 fights but has gone to decision in his last three outings, suggesting opponents are adjusting or he's facing stiffer competition. Rzepecki is also undefeated at 10-0 with a more balanced skill set: 4 KOs and 5 submissions show grappling depth that Zaynukov lacks entirely (0 sub attempts in UFC record). Rzepecki's recent form includes a decision win and three finishes in his last four, demonstrating adaptability. The critical gap: Zaynukov has no submission defense data and zero grappling output; Rzepecki has proven submission chops and can threaten the clinch and mat. Zaynukov's striking volume and accuracy are superior, but Rzepecki's submission threat and wrestling baseline present a real path to victory.

About these numbers

Market probability is the live crowd consensus from Polymarket, a public prediction market where people trade on outcomes — we read it as a data signal for what the crowd expects, and it updates continuously. AI probabilityis our own model’s independent read of the matchup from fighter data alone; it never sees the market price, which is why the two can disagree.

All of it is published for analysis and entertainment. Nothing here is betting advice, a recommendation, or a prediction of a guaranteed result — fights are volatile and upsets are the sport.