Who won Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs Seokhyeon Ko?
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani won the fight. Our AI picked Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani at 62% — called it right. The market's favourite was priced at 66%.
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani
Seokhyeon Ko
What our AI said before the fight
Lebosnoyani is the more explosive striker with significantly higher output (4.77 vs 2.73 sig strikes/min), better accuracy (62% vs 59%), and a proven finishing rate—3 KOs and 5 subs in 10 wins. He's on a hot W5 streak with recent first-round finishes and is younger at 27. However, Ko is a more measured, defensively sound operator: he absorbs just 1.42 strikes/min (Lebosnoyani takes 3.72), has a 6-fight win streak, and boasts elite takedown accuracy at 63% vs Lebosnoyani's 30%. Ko's reach is only 1 inch shorter, and his leg reach advantage (37 vs 43.5) is negligible. Ko's wins are recent and include a head-to-head split decision over Philip Rowe just weeks after Lebosnoyani beat him—suggesting Ko's wrestling and control may be the differentiator. Lebosnoyani's losses both came by KO, indicating he can be caught; Ko has never been finished.
About these numbers
Market probability is the live crowd consensus from Polymarket, a public prediction market where people trade on outcomes — we read it as a data signal for what the crowd expects, and it updates continuously. AI probabilityis our own model’s independent read of the matchup from fighter data alone; it never sees the market price, which is why the two can disagree.
All of it is published for analysis and entertainment. Nothing here is betting advice, a recommendation, or a prediction of a guaranteed result — fights are volatile and upsets are the sport.